Quick Summary for Saturday 5th September:
Competitive handicap with many likely improvers. Not sure if Penhill got home over a longer trip last time and he remains on my radar – but maybe might need more ease in the ground.
I’m backing GWAFA ew 12/1. Eyecatching jockey booking coming across from Ireland for one ride. Think this one could improve plenty on his last run and double figure odds are too generous
1pt ew Gwafa 12/1
Much depends on whether Haydock gets overnight rain here but as long as it doesn’t get much (in which case he may not run) then I have to be with HAVANA COOLER at 5/1.Narrowly beaten by Van Percy last time who has franked the form since – this looks a weaker race.
1.5 pts ew Havana Cooler 5/1
Richard Hughes has formed a great relationship with Sole Power but it’s hard to get away from the fact he has never won over 6 furlongs. It’s often a tall order for 5 furlong specialists to perform as well at 6 as the pace of the race can be so different.
MUSIC MASTER was my fancy for the Nunthorpe and gets the vote here – he was pulled out of that race with a bad scope but can’t imagine Henry Candy would run him if he wasn’t 100%. He stil has improvement over this trip and was unlucky not to be much closer at Royal Ascot but for being on wrong side of the course. 8/1 with 1/5 odds and an extra 4th place availablle at Hills and Corals.
BACCARAT is an interesting outsider and was too big earlier in the week at 40/1. Draw could have been better but he shouldn’t be far away on official ratings and is still of some interest if anyone offers over 20/1
1pt ew MUSIC MASTER 8/1 (Hills/Coral)
Two took the eye, MIZZOU is from a nice family and is improving with each race – the extra distance should suit well . But at more than double his odds, INTENSE TANGO is the main selection at 12/1. Karl Burke’s runners are often overpriced but he’s proving his worth as a trainer to follow this year and this one is also improving with each run. The 3lb claim could be vital
0.75 pts ew INTENSE TANGO 12/1
Sorry for the shorter than normal blog but a bit too much to Tweet here!